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Edition 2 · Wednesday 15 April 2026 · Analysis · BTC Technical · Macro Watch
Briefly Touched $75k —
But Was That It?
BTC hit a one-month high then retreated to $74,339. The 8H oscillator is rolling over into the order block. Was that the wick? Real recovery or bull trap?
Market Sentiment
$74,339BTC Price
61 NeutralRSI 8H
22 — FearFear & Greed
$786METF Inflows
$71,902Saylor Avg
View:
Edition 2 — Wednesday 15 April 2026
News & Macro
01
Exclusive · Chart Hackers
The Boss Heads to a Friend's Studio to Trade Shitcoins & Play Pool with No Chalk
An absolutely critical Tuesday session. Sources confirm the chalk situation remains unresolved.
02
Macro · Gold · Safe Haven
Gold at $4,760 — Rebounding as Iran Talks Resume
Gold climbed back to $4,760 on Tuesday as the US and Iran signalled willingness to resume negotiations. Dollar softening providing a tailwind. JPMorgan targets $5,000 by year-end.
03
Macro · Markets · Sentiment
Markets Past "Peak Fear" — But Oil Stays the Risk
Global X strategist Billy Leung: "Markets have reached peak uncertainty. The reaction function is no longer as extreme as before." VIX has eased from its highs — but $100+ oil keeps rate cut hopes in check.
04
Fed · Rates · Calendar
Fed Beige Book Today — FOMC April 29 the Big One
The Fed releases its Beige Book today. Initial jobless claims follow Thursday. The real catalyst is FOMC April 28–29 — markets price zero chance of a cut in April. A dovish Powell could be the spark crypto needs.
05
Equities · BlackRock · Risk
BlackRock Upgrades US Stocks — Dials Up Risk
BlackRock's Investment Institute moving back to overweight US equities. Tech earnings growth forecast at 43% for 2026. Watching Hormuz flow daily as the key signal — Iran's willingness to talk is "concrete evidence of economic incentives to stop the war."
BTC/USDT 8H · The Oscillator Turn — Three Scenarios
Three Scenarios · 15 April 2026
🔴
Rejection: That wick into OB ($75,187) was the high for now. Oscillator confirms turn — drop to $71k support.
🟡
Breakout: Clean close above $76k + volume opens $78k–$80k.
🟢
Sideways: Consolidation $71k–$75k ranging — more exhaustion before the next move.
"Briefly touched $75k then pulled back. The oscillator is turning. This is the setup traders have been waiting for."
Today's Stories
06
Macro · FX · Geopolitics
Trump & Vance Boost the Positive Vibes — Asia FX Wraps Higher
Vance says Iran talks made "a lot of progress" with the "ball in Iran's court." Oil eased on the back of the comments. Asia-Pacific FX markets took it as a modest positive — risk assets lifted overnight.
07
Diplomacy · Middle East · Peace
Middle East Peace Push: Israel-Lebanon Diplomatic Talks Open
Washington hosting further discussions involving Israel and Lebanon to advance broader truce efforts. Another round of US-Iran talks could come as soon as Thursday, per AP.
08
Crypto · Earnings · ETH
Bitmine Posts $3.8B Quarterly Loss on ETH Holdings
Bitmine (BMNR) reported a $3.8B net loss driven by a $3.77B unrealized loss on its 4.47M ETH treasury. Staking revenue rose sharply to $10.2M. Pivoting away from mining toward long-term ETH treasury management.
09
Exchange · IPO · TradFi
Kraken Confirms IPO Filing — But Valuation Down 33% to $13.3B
Co-CEO confirmed confidential S-1 filing at Semafor conference. Deutsche Börse invested $200M for 1.5% stake — valuing Kraken at $13.3B, down from $20B in November. Bitcoin's recovery to $76k reopened the IPO window.
10
Oil · Hormuz · Shipping
Iraq-Bound Tanker Attempts Hormuz Crossing Into Persian Gulf
An Iraq-bound tanker attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz — the latest selective transit Iran is permitting. Iraq granted "brotherly" exemption status. 187 laden tankers still trapped inside the Gulf.
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Other Editions
Edition 1 · 14 Apr
The "Strait" Up Day?
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Edition 3 · 16 Apr
Still Waiting — Drop or Rip?
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